Monday, October 09, 2017

What will trigger the next market crash?

We read the Financial Times and Economist regularly as part of our intellectual diet.  Both carried articles this week about the non-likelihoo... Read More >>

Saturday, November 14, 2015

RMB: a secondary SDR member by 30/11/15

What happens if the RMB is included in the SDR basket by the end of November? Investment implications? We all know that the IMF 's main  boar... Read More >>

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Japan: Gross Depressed Product

Japan: Gross Depressed Product Monetary easing is as ineffectual to reforming Japan's economy as bombing ISIS is to eradicating terrorism. Abe&rs... Read More >>

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Roadmaps: Grexit and a crash this Fall

Here is how much Greece must pay whom and by when, followed by an overall roadmap for that market tumble this Fall. Greece's  payment de... Read More >>

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Bloomberg TV Show: Singapore, the dollar and China

My Bloomberg TV show of this morning on Singapore's looming issues, the rising dollar and healing China http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2015-0... Read More >>

Friday, March 20, 2015

FOMC: Connecting the dots

Forget demand-driven inflation; worry about debt inflation in the Submerging Markets Dot plots. We won't bother re-phrasing the Financial Time... Read More >>

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Dollar strength: The crunch cometh

    How  exploding debt-servicing could infect global markets    Looming Emerging M... Read More >>

Monday, January 12, 2015

Blooomberg TV: Why markets will crash

Markets will crash because of currency mismatches.  My Bloomberg TV interview of today: http://www.bloomberg.com/video/emerging-market-debt-cr... Read More >>

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

June outlook:cheap gold in the mush of 1H15

Our coverage of oil.  More recently,  we have issued four blogs on this slippery subject. In the first piece  on 8th ... Read More >>

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

Submerging markets' worsening Economic Time

Take-aways.  On 29th November we released pixels  arguing that a) a weaker oil prices drives up the dollar and b) a stronger do... Read More >>