Sunday, September 03, 2017

Global: What will cause the crash?

Un-originally, we have forecast a market crash between 4Q17 and 2H18.  Iconoclastically, however, we don't think that the usual causes are rel... Read More >>

Wednesday, July 26, 2017

Bloomberg TV: the Fed and Horse Buggy Repair Manuals

All central banks are trying to move forward by squinting into their rear-view mirrors. Market implications. Fed preview: decision due the... Read More >>

Thursday, January 26, 2017

USA: Trump honeymoon over yet?

Since Trump's November victory, the Dow has surged nine per cent. Quo vadis?  The Dow Jones Industrial Average has crossed the 20,000 lev... Read More >>

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

1Q17: What to buy and sell

What to go long of and what to short this quarter  Top 3 investment tips/themes (e.g. sell the yen, avoid oil) -    ... Read More >>

Thursday, October 27, 2016

G-3 Radio Show: Interest rates and earnings

Fed funds will rise 13th-14 December. Why to buy bonds on price weakness. US corporate earnings set to improve. 1.  G-3 INTEREST RATES... Read More >>

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Market Outlook: August - December 2016

Global Economic Time is stabilizing: buy the G3 plus Greater China What are your top 3 investment ideas?  -     &... Read More >>

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Economic Clock: Where are we in the cycle?

Our only change is that now, you should start buying China and thus Hong Kong. What we wrote in April Just this April we issued a pi... Read More >>

Saturday, June 04, 2016

Is the Fed Funds hike akin to Japan's VAT increase?

Is the much-traded-about Fed Funds hike akin to the much-traded-about Japanese VAT increase?  Why markets are so peripatetic. Investment imp... Read More >>

Thursday, June 02, 2016

US, China, Japan & Viet Nam

Buy America and Viet Nam; sell China, Hong Kong and Japan  US ECONOMIC DATA US manufacturing has expanded for the third consecutive month... Read More >>

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

How low interest rates STYMIE growth

Low rates kill growth from a consumption as well as an investment angle. Conventional wisdom Textbooks tell us that low interest rat... Read More >>

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Economic Clock: where are we in the cycle?

We reveal what our Economic Clock is telling us - and, thus, how to invest. The Economic Clock Readers know that we have been runnin... Read More >>

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Negative rates: why they cannot depress currencies

How come negative interest rates have stopped depressing  their respective currencies? Investment implications. Backgrounder T... Read More >>

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Japan: how to profit from her broken Economic Clock

Japan's politicians and Bank of Japan (BoJ) have broken her Economic Clock®. Crazy investment implication. What a broken clock does ... Read More >>

Monday, February 01, 2016

Radio Interview: Flawed Japanese monetary policy

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is doing more of the same - yet hoping for a different result? Is this crazy or just plain sick?  Crazy investment im... Read More >>

Friday, January 22, 2016

Bloomberg Show: Investment Strategies

How not to/ to invest your money: losers and winners on a national and sectoral level. Market Outlook  is the market rout over? Have we seen ... Read More >>

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

RTHK Radio: Europe and seven investment themes

Why you should short the Euro. Seven investment themes, some odd ones, for 2016. 1. The Euro and the European Union For the EU headline the Finla... Read More >>

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Market strategies for 2015 and 2016

1. Market outlook for rest of the year; expectations for 2016; what were the main surprises in 2015? Expect a dive on 16th Dec when the Fed a... Read More >>

Thursday, October 01, 2015

Abenomics: Chasing elephants with three pop guns

The Japanese ocean liner keeps sinking in the mire of vested interests; new "arrows" are blunt Gross depressed product A couple of w... Read More >>

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Bloomberg Show: China, Japan & the Fed

Why you should be buying into weakness: China, Japan and America. Yesterday's Bloomberg TV shows. CHINA: earnings-driven "buy" Shrin... Read More >>

Friday, August 21, 2015

Push for reforms, consumption, productivity growth key to Asia’s future

Enzio von Pfeil is interviewed by The Edge Singapore and outlines why the push for reforms, consumption and productivity growth are key to Asia&r... Read More >>

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Japan: Gross Depressed Product

Japan: Gross Depressed Product Monetary easing is as ineffectual to reforming Japan's economy as bombing ISIS is to eradicating terrorism. Abe&rs... Read More >>

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Bloomberg TV: USA, Japan and Greece

My Bloomberg TV shows on why the Fed will raise rates in September, that Japan's growth recovery is a myth and that Greece is playing a game of chi... Read More >>

Friday, May 22, 2015

Global: where do I put my money?

Why you must go with the flow - and where. These are my notes for a Bloomberg TV show this Monday, 25th May 2015, 11:00 - 11:50 AM, Hong Kong time:... Read More >>

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

June outlook:cheap gold in the mush of 1H15

Our coverage of oil.  More recently,  we have issued four blogs on this slippery subject. In the first piece  on 8th ... Read More >>

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Japan: Gross Depressed Product

Recent blues.  Just this Monday, we all discovered that  Japan's GDP contracted by an annualized 1.6% during 3Q14; this co... Read More >>

Saturday, November 01, 2014

Yen/Dollar: Exporters and sector strategies

Japan's monetary base.  As you know, just this Thursday the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to expand its monetary base by an average 24%, to... Read More >>

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Bloomberg: Show notes for 23/10, 11:40 AM HK Time

1. Japan outlook those scandals have not exactly enhanced Abe's popularity -Abe must decide by the end of this CY if he wants to increase ... Read More >>

Tuesday, August 05, 2014

Asset Allocation: Third Quarter 2014

Here are some notes prepared for my TV show on Bloomberg and a radio show on Hong Kong's RTHK Investment strategy. Sectors you like/don't like... Read More >>

Friday, May 16, 2014

Strategic Asset Allocation: "So what do I do now?"

Recent market drubbings. No prizes for telling you the time by looking at someone else's watch.  Dollar-cost averaging. If you have ... Read More >>

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Where to invest: US, China, Japan & Defense

1. Fed meeting, US economy, forward guidance etc a. Keynes cannot work in post-democracies: locals don’t want to build roads and bridges! b... Read More >>

Tuesday, April 01, 2014

Investment strategy going in to quarter II 2014

 I have compiled this for my show on Bloomberg tomorrow, Wednesday, 2nd April, at 11:40 AM Hong Kong time     Asia-Pacific... Read More >>

Wednesday, March 05, 2014

In Gold We Trust

Here is what  I have drafted for tomorrow's show on Bloomberg TV at 11:40 AM.  As usual, I bank on your intelligence, thus providing... Read More >>

Monday, June 24, 2013

Changing Economic Time®: So, how do I invest now?

How to invest now? We provide strategic (i.e. NOT "timing"/ "tactical" ) asset allocation thoughts concerning which instruments, markets, sectors, ... Read More >>

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Japan: Morbidnomics

Here are the notes that I created for my Bloomberg "Asia Edge" TV show yesterday, 11th June, at 11:40 AM here in Hong Kong:  1. The BOJ will a... Read More >>

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

China, Japan & Europe: Strategic "Avoids"

Tomorrow I will be on Bloomberg TV at 11:40 AM Hong Kong time.  Here are some thoughts that I will share  on the three subjects highlight... Read More >>

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Japan: "This time is different"

On 9th April we released a  scathing piece just  why the Bank of Japan's  (BoJ's) easy money cannot ignite growth: "...Kuroda's... Read More >>

Tuesday, April 09, 2013

Japan: Quantitative easing means zero "trickle-down", aka no "double happiness"

If you read the Financial Times, don't bother with  my musings: I have leaned heavily on  today's FT. Yesterday, we posted "Jap... Read More >>

Friday, September 14, 2012

Fiscal cliff-hangers: the Fed and Japan

Those elected  hypocritical &  mendacious politicians in the US, EU and Japan refuse to create jobs for their elecorates via fiscal s... Read More >>