Thursday, August 24, 2017

Radio Show Notes: Trump, Jackson Hole

Soon the markets will take Trump's brassy trumpettes for what they are: background noise.  Forget any policy statement by Draghi at Jackson Ho... Read More >>

Thursday, August 03, 2017

RTHK Show Notes: soggy dollar repeating history

Despite America's  Treasuries yielding more than the Europeans' or Japanese', the dollar remains soggy.   But it has been since kickoff i... Read More >>

Sunday, June 25, 2017

The Fed and the Treasury: Who is boss?

We all know that the Fed is in the business of controlling its mini-rates, the Fed Funds. But with the unwinding of QE, it just could be that the T... Read More >>

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Radio interview: Market Crash/ Fed/Oil

There is more to the market crash than China's slowdown.  Investment implications. Market crash: is it the slowdown in China or is that just... Read More >>

Friday, May 22, 2015

Global: where do I put my money?

Why you must go with the flow - and where. These are my notes for a Bloomberg TV show this Monday, 25th May 2015, 11:00 - 11:50 AM, Hong Kong time:... Read More >>

Saturday, May 02, 2015

China: More goodies

Another rate cut will be dwarfed by markets' discounting next year's inclusion of China's A-Shares in the MSCI Index China's Economic Ti... Read More >>

Wednesday, April 01, 2015

Grexit: potential dangers thereof

Whilst we do not foresee Grexit, it's best to beware of its consequences Game of chicken. This February we wrote that this whole Grexit m... Read More >>

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Europe & Japan: Overweight

Just go with the flow and buy these two markets: liquidity-driven upside whilst politicians kick the empty & noisy can of reforms down the road... Read More >>

Thursday, February 12, 2015

China's January prices: Does inflation equal demand?

Globalisation means stronger growth AND lower inflation. The resulting excess supply of money bodes well for asset markets. January inflation.... Read More >>

Friday, January 23, 2015

Tactical volte face: go long Europe

Structurally bearish on Europe.  Readers know of my distaste for European politicians: they won't reform their economies, and can get awa... Read More >>

Thursday, July 24, 2014

End of QE: Stay long US Treasuries

Low inflation stays. On 2nd June 2014 we issued a missive about why bond yields will hover around the current 2.5% for a some years yet: ... Read More >>